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Labor market surges again, strengthens case for Fed pause

January 12, 2025
in Mortgage
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The report marks the most recent indication that the financial system is continuous to motor at a brisk clip, with the Federal Reserve having just lately signaled that probabilities of a flurry of rate of interest cuts in 2025 are fading.

Mortgage Bankers Affiliation (MBA) senior vp and chief economist Mike Fratantoni mentioned in a observe that the December figures strengthened the case for the Fed to carry off on trimming charges once more.

Whereas latest months have seen a rise within the variety of staff who had been unemployed for longer spells, Fratantoni highlighted that long-term unemployment dipped in December.

The general image is considered one of a robust jobs market, he mentioned. “Whereas the FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] had indicated that they may sluggish the tempo of price cuts as we enter 2025, these information make at the very least a pause in cuts more likely, which is able to push mortgage charges larger within the close to time period,” Fratantoni wrote.

Retail commerce, healthcare, leisure and hospitality, and authorities sectors accounted for almost all of December’s jobs development, however contraction in manufacturing continued.

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